Cisco Systems (CSCO) this morning said it expects global Internet traffic to increase more than fourfold to 767 exabytes – more than three-quarters of a zettabyte – by 2014. That is 100 exabytes above the projected level for 2013, or 10x the traffic in 2008.
The forecast is part of the company’s annual “visual networking index” survey of Internet usage.
Some other tidbits from the survey:
- Cisco says the growth in traffic will continue to be dominated by video, which will exceed 91% of global consumer IP traffic by 2014.
- By 2014, the company expects close to 64 exabytes a month of IP traffic – the equivalent of 16 billion DVDs, 21 trillion MP3s, or 399 quadrillion text messages.
- Cisco says global Internet traffic will surpass peer-to-peer traffic by the end of 2010; there will be more than 1 billion global Internet video users� by the end of this year. By 2014, “it would take mroe than two years to watch the amount of video that will cross global IP networks every second,” or if you prefer, it would take 72 million years to watch all the video crossing the network that year.
- By 2014 3D video is expected to 4% of total Internet traffic; 3D and HD video combined is expected to be 42% of total Internet video traffic.
- Global business IP traffic is expected to tripled in 2014 to 7.7 exabytes a month; business video conferencing is expected to growth tenfold by 2014, with a CAGR of 57%. Web-based video conferencing is expected to grow 183% CAGR in the 2009-2014 period.
- Mobile broadband data will increase 39x from 2009 to 2014.
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