"The official report contained a piece of good news, which was that quarterly growth quickened to 1.8% quarter-over-quarter from 1.6% in Q1, which was stronger than median expectations," said Klaus Baader, senior economist at Societe Generale. "While not too much emphasis should be placed on this, it may be a sign that growth has already bottomed in Q1."
"Our forecast remains that the Q2 annual growth rate is likely to mark the low in the current cycle, and that thanks to both monetary and fiscal stimulus Q3 growth will strengthen to around 8%," he continued. The FTSE in London rose 1% and the DAX in Germany was higher by 2.2% as the European markets rallied in response to the China data and good demand at an Italian bond auction outweighed a Moody's credit rating downgrade of Italy. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Stock index closed up 0.35% and the Nikkei finished flat.In U.S. economic news, the Labor Department reported that the producer price index rose by 0.1% in June after falling 1% in May, which was better than the decline of 0.5% that economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters were expecting for last month. The core figure rose 0.2%, as expected, after increasing by the same amount previously. "The combination of a benign inflation backdrop and large amount of slack in labor markets leaves the Fed free to maintain its highly stimulative policy stance with a move to further easing through additional asset purchases still possible should conditions deteriorate further," said Nathan Janzen, an economist at RBC Economics, who viewed the gains in the wholesale price index as mild. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index was a disappointment, coming in at 72 vs. an expectation for a reading of 73.4. August crude oil futures rose $1.02 to settle at $87.10 a barrel. August gold futures popped $26.70 to settle at $1,592 an ounce. The benchmark 10-year Treasury fell 5/32, lifting the yield to 1.491%, while the dollar was down 0.35%, according to the dollar index.Elsewhere in corporate news, Lexmark(LXK) was a big mover to the downside after the company lowered its second-quarter outlook on Thursday, citing a "weaker than expected demand environment, particularly in Europe, and a larger than expected impact from unfavorable changes in currency exchange rates."
The Lexington, Ky.-based printer maker now sees earnings excluding items of 87 to 89 cents a share for the June-ended period, below a previous guidance for a profit of 95 cents to $1.05 a share. The company expects revenue to decline 12% in the quarter from year-ago levels vs. a prior forecast for a 7-to-9% decline on the top line. The stock was down nearly 16%.2012 Stock Predictions and Outlook |
Your one-stop shop for 2012 stock recommendations and market predictions. |
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