DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.
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Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."
Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.
With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume recently.
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Phillip Morris
Phillip Morris (PM), through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cigarettes and other tobacco products. This stock closed up 0.58% to $86.05 in Monday's trading session.
Monday's Volume: 6.96 million
Three-Month Average Volume: 4.22 million
Volume % Change: 68%
From a technical perspective, PM trended modestly higher here right above its 50-day moving average of $84.53 with above-average volume. This spike to the upside on Monday also pushed shares of PM into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance at $85.90. Shares of PM are now starting to trend within range of triggering another breakout trade. That trade will hit if PM manages to clear some near-term overhead resistance levels at $86.57 to $86.77 and then above $87 with high volume.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in PM as long as it's trending above its 50-day at $84.53 or above its 200-day at $82.91 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 4.22 million shares. If that breakout begins soon, then PM will set up to re-fill some of its previous gap-down-day zone from June that started just above $89 or even its 52-week high at $91.81.
As of the most recently reported quarter, Philip Morris was one of the top holdings at Renaissance Technologies. It was featured recently in on RealMoney in "Philip Morris Looks Mighty Tempting."
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Lannett
Lannett (LCI), develops, manufactures, packages, markets and distributes generic versions of branded pharmaceutical products in the U.S. This stock closed up 5.1% to $43.46 in Monday's trading session.
Monday's Volume: 1.15 million
Three-Month Average Volume: 642,678
Volume % Change: 73%
From a technical perspective, LCI spiked sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $40 with above-average volume. This spike to the upside on Monday also pushed shares of LCI into breakout territory, since the stock took out some previous overhead resistance at $41.77. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if LCI manages to clear Monday's intraday high of $43.67 and then above its gap-down-day high from July at $44.50 with high volume.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in LCI as long as it's trending above some near-term support at $40 or above its 50-day moving average of $38.18 and then once it sustains a move or close above $43.67 to $44.50 with volume that hits near or above 642,678 shares. If that move kicks off soon, then LCI will set up to re-fill some more of its previous gap-down-day zone from July that started at $47.89. Any high-volume move above $47.89 will then give LCI a chance to re-test its 52-week high at $51.66.
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Thoratec
Thoratec (THOR) develops, manufactures and markets proprietary medical devices used for mechanical circulatory support for the treatment of heart failure patients. This stock closed up 6.1% at $27.74 in Monday's trading session.
Monday's Volume: 4.42 million
Three-Month Average Volume: 939,902
Volume % Change: 320%
From a technical perspective, THOR ripped sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $25 with monster upside volume. This sharp spike to the upside on Monday also pushed shares of THOR back above its 50-day moving average of $27.64 and into its previous gap-down-day zone from August that started at $32.22. Traders should now look for a continuation move to the upside and into that gap if THOR can manage to clear Monday's intraday high of $27.92 with high volume.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in THOR as long as it's trending above Monday's intraday low of $25.60 and then once it sustains a move or close above $27.92 with volume that hits near or above 939,902 shares. If that move materializes soon, then TROV will set up to re-fill some more of its previous gap-down-day zone from August that started at $33.22. Some possible upside targets if THOR gets into that gap with volume are $30 to $32.
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LDR Holding
LDR Holding (LDRH), a medical device company, focuses on designing and commercializing various surgical technologies for the treatment of patients suffering from spine disorders in the U.S., France and internationally. This stock closed up 2.1% at $30.42 in Monday's trading session.
Monday's Volume: 296,000
Three-Month Average Volume: 217,017
Volume % Change: 50%
From a technical perspective, LDRH trended modestly higher here right above some near-term support at $28 with above-average volume. This stock recently broke out above some key overhead resistance levels at $28.41 to $28.48 with decent upside volume flows. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if LDRH manages to take out Monday's intraday high of $30.79 with high volume.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in LDRH as long as it's trending above some key near-term support at $28 and then once it sustains a move or close above $30.79 with volume that's near or above 217,017 shares. If that move gets underway soon, then LDRH will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $34.50 to $38.
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Computer Task Group
Computer Task Group (CTG) operates as an information technology solutions and staffing services company in North America and Europe. This stock closed up 2.2% at $11.94 in Monday's trading session.
Monday's Volume: 153,000
Three-Month Average Volume: 64,461
Volume % Change: 95%
From a technical perspective, CTG jumped notably higher here right above its new 52-week low of $11.51 with above-average volume. This stock has been downtrending badly for the last two months and change, with shares falling sharply from its high of $17.38 to its new 52-week low of $11.51. During that downtrend, shares of CTG have been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of CTG have now started to spike higher off that 52-week low and off oversold territory, since its current relative strength index reading is 32.87.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in CTG as long as it's trending above its 52-week low of $11.51 and then once it sustains a move or close above Monday's intraday high of $12.22 to some more near-term overhead resistance at $12.50 with volume that's near or above 64,461 shares. If that move gets started soon, then CTG will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $13 to its 50-day moving average of $13.54, or even $14 to $14.50.
To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.
-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.
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At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.
Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including
CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.
J. Scott Applewhite/AP WASHINGTON -- The federal government ran a lower budget deficit this August than a year ago, remaining on track to record the lowest deficit for the entire year since 2008. The August deficit was $128.7 billion, down 13 percent from the $147.9 billion deficit recorded in August 2013, the Treasury Department said Thursday in its monthly budget report. With just one month left in the budget year, the deficit totals $589.2 billion, 22 percent below last year's 11-month total. The Congressional Budget Office expects the government to run a sizable surplus in September that will allow the government to close out the budget year with a deficit of $506 billion, the lowest since 2008. The improvement this year has occurred because of a 7.7 percent increase in tax revenues that offset a smaller 0.8 percent increase in spending. Revenues have been boosted by an improving economy and a tax increase that started taking effect in January 2013 that raised taxes on upper income individuals and eliminated a tax break workers had been getting on their Social Security taxes in the aftermath of the Great Recession. On the spending side, outlays have been restrained by efforts to get control of soaring budget deficits and by an improving economy which has cut spending in such areas as unemployment benefits and food stamps. With one month remaining in this budget year, outlays total $3.25 trillion while revenues total $2.66 trillion. If the deficit comes in at $506 billion as CBO is forecasting, that would be 26 percent below last year's imbalance and the lowest annual total since the 2008 deficit of $458.6 billion. The 2007-2009 recession and efforts to deal with the financial crisis sent deficits soaring above $1 trillion for four straight years. The deficit hit $1.4 trillion in 2009 and remained above $1 trillion for each of the next three years, finally falling to $680.2 billion last year. The CBO's latest forecast, released last month, sees the deficit declining to $469 billion next year before starting to rise again. The CBO forecast has the deficit climbing above $800 billion in 2021 and above $900 billion in 2022 and beyond. The big driver of those deficits will be the rising cost of Social Security and Medicare for the 78 million retiring baby boomers. Republicans blame President Barack Obama for failing to propose significant cuts to reduce soaring entitle costs. Democrats counter that Republicans would rather slash needed government benefit programs than impose higher taxes on the wealthy. Neither side has shown any desire to make major concessions in this congressional election year. Republicans controlling the House have unveiled a short-term spending bill that would keep the government open until Dec. 11. That would buy time to negotiate a catchall, $1 trillion-plus spending bill after the November midterm elections. There is little expectation that there will be a repeat of last year's tea party uprising when conservatives forced a budget standoff over implementing the new health care law that sparked a 16-day partial government shutdown.
Last month he created a wiki page on the Internet to solicit help in creating a decentralized, purely digital stock trading system that would use Bitcoin's blockchain - the mechanism that records and verifies all the transactions - as its foundation.
www.gopro.com Plenty of stocks go up and down in any given week. The gainers inspire us to keep investing. The decliners keep greed in check while reminding us about the risks of the equity markets. Let's go over some of last week's best and worst performers. TubeMogul (TUBE) -- Up 47 percent last week The biggest winner among Nasdaq-listed stocks was TubeMogul, surprising the market with a profit in its first quarter as a public company. TubeMogul is trying to raise the bar when it comes to online video advertising, and its first time out with fresh financials is impressive. Revenue more than doubled, and TubeMogul's profit of 4 cents a share flabbergasted the pros, who were bracing for a deficit of 15 cents a share. Its guidance suggests that TubeMogul will revert back to a deficit during the next two quarters, but the market was still impressed by the healthy revenue and ad spend growth in its outlook for the balance of the year. GoPro (GPRO) -- Up 20 percent last week The leading maker of wearable cameras is going to the dogs. GoPro moved higher after introducing a new canine camera harness. GoPro's Fetch is a harness that offers a pair of mount locations for GoPro's high-def HERO cameras. The adjustable mount can be worn by dogs as small as 15 pounds, but it remains to be seen if PETA and other animal activists object to having cameras mounted on canines in the first place. Mobileye (MBLY) -- Up 15 percent last week Self-driving cars may be closer than we think. Shares of Mobileye -- a Jerusalem-based leader in camera-based advanced driver assistance systems, moved higher after analysts initiated coverage with favorable ratings. Barclays Capital (BCS), Citigroup (C), Morgan Stanley (JPM) and Robert W. Baird were among the analysts chiming in on the recently public company with upbeat outlooks. Mobileye's cameras make cars smarter, bringing us one step closer to automobiles that drive themselves. Smith & Wesson (SWHC) -- Down 15 percent last week The gun maker was firing blanks last week after posting a problematic quarterly report. Revenue plunged 23 percent, but inventory levels soared 60 percent. A glut of unsold weaponry is only going to add to the industry's cutthroat ways. Making matters worse, Smith & Wesson revised its full-year profit outlook sharply lower. Noodles & Co. (NDLS) -- Down 10 percent last week One of last year's hottest initial public offerings continues to come undone in 2014. The fast-casual chain of pasta-boiling eateries slumped after being called out not once -- but twice -- on CNBC. Jim Cramer was the first to diss Noodles & Co., singling it out on Monday's "Mad Money" show as one of five restaurant stocks that could give investors indigestion. Cramer feels that until same-store sales turn the corner, expansion is not in its best interest. "Fast Money" followed a day later, with Stephen Weiss suggesting that viewers sell the stock. GrubHub (GRUB) -- Down 10 percent last week The market was hungry for GrubHub earlier this year, but it's not really interested in going for seconds. Shares of the restaurant delivery platform stumbled after the company announced that it will sell 10 millions shares in a secondary offering. Underwriters are relaxing lock-up restrictions to allow insiders to unload some of their shares. GrubHub went public in April at $26 a share. The stock has moved sharply higher since the IPO, but secondary offerings this soon after going public often give the impression that insiders think the stock is peaking. More from Rick Aristotle Munarriz
Mike Kane/Bloomberg via Getty Images WASHINGTON -- Average long-term U.S. mortgage rates declined this week, approaching their lows for the year. Mortgage company Freddie Mac said Thursday the nationwide average for a 30-year loan slipped to 4.12 percent from 4.14 percent last week. The average for a 15-year mortgage, a popular choice for people who are refinancing, fell to 3.24 percent from 3.27 percent last week. Mortgage rates are below the levels of a year ago. They have fallen in recent weeks after climbing last summer when the Federal Reserve began talking about reducing the monthly bond purchases it was making to keep long-term borrowing rates low. Mortgage rates often follow the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. The 10-year note traded at 2.42 percent Wednesday, brushing its low for the year of 2.41 percent and down from 2.47 percent a week earlier. It fell to 2.38 percent in trading Thursday morning. At 4.12 percent, the rate on a 30-year mortgage is down from 4.53 percent at the start of the year. Rates have fallen even though the Fed has been trimming its monthly bond purchases, which are intended to keep long-term borrowing rates low. The purchases are set to end in October.